Transparency
The Graveyard
Radical transparency requires owning our misses. Every prediction that failed to materialize or resolved negatively lives here.
Expired
0
Timing windows closed before any positive signal was detected.
Resolved Failures
8
Opportunities that definitively failed — shutdown, pivoted, or confirmed miss.
All Dead Predictions (8)
| Committed | Vertical | Confidence | Status | Receipt Hash |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2/1/2026 | fintech | 50.0% | acquisition | — |
| 2/1/2026 | fintech | 50.0% | acquisition | — |
| 2/1/2026 | fintech | 50.0% | acquisition | — |
| 2/1/2026 | fintech | 50.0% | acquisition | — |
| 1/1/2026 | healthtech | 60.0% | dead | — |
| 1/1/2026 | healthtech | 60.0% | dead | — |
| 1/1/2026 | healthtech | 60.0% | dead | — |
| 1/1/2026 | healthtech | 60.0% | dead | — |