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Hypothesis Sandbox

Your thesis, red-teamed in 30 seconds.

Declare a falsifiable market call. The engine scores its falsifiability, stress-tests it adversarially, and shows you what would have to be true.

Junctiq // Hypothesis Sandbox
Live engine preview · illustrative
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Falsifiability Score

Start typing a bet. The gauge scores how falsifiable it is — live.

  • Name what concretely happens — built, funded, replaced, displaced

    ·25

  • Add a date or window (e.g. “by Q4 2026”) — without one it can never be falsified

    ·25

  • Add a number, % or threshold — otherwise no one can score it right or wrong

    ·25

  • State your confidence (e.g. “68% likely”) so the call can be calibrated

    ·15

  • Anchor to a base rate or analogue (“like X did”) to discipline the estimate

    ·10

  • Highest-leverage fix

    Add a date or window (e.g. “by Q4 2026”) — without one it can never be falsified